Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.205906 0.236335 0.270560 0.312069 0.361265 0.417974 0.488669
2025-11-09 0.156999 0.196275 0.245167 0.311207 0.399163 0.513821 0.677159
2025-11-16 0.128201 0.170212 0.226436 0.308632 0.428200 0.599756 0.871989
2025-11-23 0.108350 0.150653 0.210538 0.303747 0.449375 0.675646 1.069406
2025-11-30 0.097179 0.140648 0.205289 0.311682 0.489061 0.785821 1.349749
2025-12-07 0.085581 0.127937 0.193494 0.306491 0.505438 0.860031 1.587898
2025-12-14 0.077670 0.119608 0.186961 0.308177 0.532928 0.958766 1.902072
2025-12-21 0.070809 0.111949 0.180237 0.308020 0.556447 1.054698 2.241347
2025-12-28 0.066296 0.107535 0.178234 0.315738 0.596087 1.191954 2.722358
2026-01-04 0.061932 0.102801 0.174944 0.320309 0.630044 1.325335 3.245574
2026-01-11 0.058133 0.098594 0.172000 0.324942 0.664877 1.469574 3.857998
2026-01-18 0.055302 0.095793 0.171266 0.333844 0.710906 1.653303 4.669070
2026-01-25 0.051894 0.091636 0.167572 0.336265 0.743394 1.814748 5.502616
2026-02-01 0.048566 0.087301 0.163036 0.336219 0.770260 1.970445 6.408398
2026-02-08 0.045343 0.082840 0.157716 0.333562 0.790038 2.112670 7.352355
2026-02-15 0.042221 0.078275 0.151657 0.328239 0.801717 2.234781 8.296533
2026-02-22 0.040597 0.076570 0.151454 0.336938 0.853988 2.504158 10.075853
2026-03-01 0.037974 0.072560 0.145797 0.331252 0.863944 2.635943 11.311669
2026-03-08 0.036154 0.070069 0.143240 0.333099 0.896924 2.862037 13.227416
2026-03-15 0.034345 0.067440 0.140090 0.332927 0.923843 3.076953 15.287395
2026-03-22 0.033246 0.066252 0.140136 0.341386 0.980682 3.433618 18.596221
2026-03-29 0.032003 0.064634 0.138993 0.346396 1.027588 3.771291 22.196827
2026-04-05 0.030848 0.063113 0.137922 0.351476 1.076333 4.141079 26.544284